Gold prices firm with US inflation data in focus
Thu Aug 29 2024
Gold prices edged up on Thursday, aided by a weaker dollar and hopes of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, while focus turned to a key U.S. inflation print. Spot gold was up 0.5% to $2,513.77 per ounce, as of 0250 GMT. Bullion hit a record high of $2,531.60 on Aug. 20 and is up nearly 22% this year so far.
U.S. gold futures rose 0.4% to $2,546.80.
The dollar dipped 0.1%, making gold more appealing for holders of other currency. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields also ticked lower. [USD/] [US/]
In the long-term, gold looks strong, but a short-term pullback is possible, especially if any data dampens rate cut expectations, said Kyle Rodda, a financial market analyst at Capital.com.
Bullion, a non-yielding asset, is more appealing in a low interest rate environment.
Market participants are awaiting U.S. initial jobless claims and GDP data due at 1230 GMT. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data is due on Friday, which could offer further clues on the outlook for rates.
Traders have fully priced in a Fed easing for next month, with a 65.5% chance of a 25-basis-point cut and about 34.5% chance of a bigger 50-bp reduction, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic on Wednesday said that with inflation down and unemployment up, it might be “time to move” on rate cuts, though he remains cautious.
“Visible short positions remains near decade-lows. Narratives in gold markets are unanimously bullish. We see significant risks to the near-term outlook tied to positioning, despite the strong fundamental backdrop,” said Daniel Ghali, commodity strategist at TD Securities in a note.
Among other metals, spot silver rose 0.91% to $29.38 per ounce, platinum climbed 0.5% to $934.52 and palladium edged 0.3% higher to $948.95.