Page 24 - Bullion World Volume 4 Issue 1 January 2024
P. 24

Bullion World | Volume 4 | Issue 1 | January 2024


           Whether the gold prices breach $2200 and above will   Silver
           depend on multiple factors going forward, which includes  Spot silver prices during 2023 so far traded in between
           the behaviour of the US dollar index – how far it will go   $20.66 and 25.91 per Oz. As of date (Dec 28) silver spot
           down, Geo-political tensions/conflicts, which as usual   is trading at $24.25 per Oz.
           are difficult to predict, will inflation continue to remain
           moderate/or on a soft pedal, which is critical in terms of   Silver in the spot weekly continuation is forming higher
           US Fed to decide on the quantum of interest rate cuts,   lows since March 2020. The current low is $20.66
           how the developed countries economy to fare well in H1   formed in October-2023.  The downside for 2023 can
           of 2024 etc., as we go into 2024.                  be seen in the region of $22 and 21.55 levels and most
                                                              probably holds that support.
           Technically in case sustains above USD 2200 per Oz
           then one can expect gold prices to move further towards   Short-term resistance is seen at around $25.50-26 per
           $2350-2390 per oz, which also coincides with the   Oz, along with the rising wedge technical formation.   If
           rectangle formation breakout target.               this hurdle is crossed then one can foresee silver prices
           MCX: Gold futures in the MCX continuation chart in   touching the next higher resistances of $29 to 31 levels.
           2023 traded in the region of INR 54,771 and 64,063 per
           10 grams. In percentage terms so far, the gains were   MCX
           around 15 per cent.                                MCX Silver futures in the continuation traded in the
                                                              region of INR 61353 and 78549 per kg so far in 2023.
           From the Mar-2023 lows of INR 54,771, gold prices   Currently (as of Dec-28th), silver is trading at INR 75,400
           swiftly moved higher towards INR 61,845 during May   per kg.
           2023. Then prices corrected from the highs and reached
           the 2023-second low of INR 56,421 during the first week   Next resistance is seen at around 78500 and then at INR
           of October 2023.  Now as of date (Dec-28th) gold prices   81,000. If sustained above then silver prices could gain
           in the MCX made a high of INR 63,821, closer to the   further and touch a new high in the region of INR 85,000
           record high of INR 64,063.                         and 88,000 per kg during 2024.


           Initial resistance is seen at around INR 65,500 and   On the lower side, INR 71,000 and 67,500 will act as
           then at INR 69,000-70,000, which could act as strong   strong support and are unlikely to breach those levels.
           resistance.  Strong support is seen in the region of INR   Overall, silver futures in MCX are most probably to trade
           61,000 and 59,000, unlikely to drop further.       in the broader region of INR 67,500 and 88,000 per kg
           Overall MCX gold futures are to trade in the broader   during 2024.
           region of INR 59,000 and 70,000 per 10 grams during
           2024.


































            24
   19   20   21   22   23   24   25   26   27   28   29