Page 27 - Bullion World Volume 4 Issue 4 April 2024
P. 27

Bullion World | Volume 4 | Issue 4 | April 2024


           Further upside in Silver




           Mr Smit Rajesh Bhayani, Research Analyst




           The market is currently projecting that the United States
           would lower interest rates in June 2024, which is when
           the gold price surge began. One significant resistance
           level, $2,080/-per ounce, was broken by the Comex
           gold prices at the end of February 24, which caused the
           prices to soar even higher. In the midst of geopolitical
           unrest, demand for safe haven assets and positive U.S.
           economic statistics helped to sustain gold prices. Silver
           prices are still not rising to their full potential in relation
           to gold prices. Since silver's fundamentals are stronger
           compared to gold, its potential for a rally this year is
           significantly greater than that of gold prices.

           In the recent several sessions, silver prices have
           increased by about $2, mostly due to the possibility of a
           US interest rate cut. This occurred as a result of lower-
           than-expected consumer sentiment and the PCE index
           for February coming in line with forecasts. The demand-
           supply situation also encourages a further increase in
           silver prices.


           Since silver is lagging behind the industrial metals, it is
           performing poorly. China's aggressive silver purchases
           should intensify in order for silver prices to soar even
           further. The fundamentals of silver are far better to those   Mr Smit Rajesh Bhayani
           of gold. Silver has a far larger surplus-deficit than gold,
           which makes it much more appealing. The deficit market
           for silver has been growing over the past two years,
           which will eventually result in higher prices.





























                                               Source: NB Research, the Silver Institute

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