Page 10 - Bullion World Volume 4 Issue 5 May 2024
P. 10

Bullion World | Volume 4 | Issue 5 | May 2024


                       Volume changes; daily average spot and forwards vs the averages over 2023

                                     Spot         Swap/Forward         Option          Loan Lease Deposit

             Gold                   21.80%            -8.53%           20.03%                5.71%
             Silver                 10.82%            6.68%            22.75%                46.44%

             Platinum               13.08%            -7.50%           -24.70%               61.48%

             Palladium              14.00%           33.53%           227.83%                -6.94%

            Source: LBMA


           General introduction: -
           After a couple of quiet months in January and February, things really took off in March with gold bursting onto the
           scene, silver following not long after and outperforming as usual.  Platinum and palladium joined the party, with
           each posting a rally through to mid-month – but then retreating.  Even so, platinum posted a net gain of 9.7%, and
           palladium, 5.4%; gold put on 10.0% after an initial bull run then consolidation; and silver, 11.9%.  Volumes were up
           substantially almost across the board (see above table), certainly in spot, but the really interesting numbers are those
           for the gold and silver options.  Palladium options look spectacular, but this is from a very low base.





           GOLD Total gold volumes, March, M ounces



























            Source: LBMA



           After a flat period in January and February, gold took   These background factors are:
           off in the first half of March, then spent a period again   ™   Growing international geopolitical tensions
           in a narrow range, consolidating and forming a base   ™   also the majority of ACCA (Association of Certified
           for its next aggressive leg in April, with a series of fresh   Chartered Accountants) members in the banking
           record highs.  The trigger for the move was weaker-than   sector are concerned that the high number of
           expected economic numbers form the United States at   elections around the world this year adds to
           the end of March, which yet again brought the outlook   geopolitical risk and this element was by far the
           for the Fed’s rate cycle into the crosshairs, but there was   element that was giving them the most concern
           a lot more to it than that, with a series of background   ™   Small-to-medium banking stresses also in the
           factors all contributing to what became an increasingly   spotlight
           excited, if not overheated, market.                ™   and of course the inevitable focus on the Fed…


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