Page 31 - Bullion World Volume 04 Issue 07 July 2023
P. 31

Bullion World | Volume 3 | Issue 7 | July 2023

           Indian Organised Jewellery Retailers


           set to outpace Industry Growth in FY2024




           Authors:

           Mr Vipin Jindal, Assistant Vice President & Sector Head, ICRA Limited
           Mr Raunak Modi, Senior Analyst, ICRA Limited






           ICRA expects the organised jewellery
           retailers in India to continue to
           outpace the industry in FY2024,
           aided by planned store additions
           by a majority of large jewellery
           retailers and market share gains due
           to accelerated formalisation of the
           industry. Its sample set of 12 major
           organised jewellers1 is projected to
           record a revenue growth of ~12-
           15% YoY in FY2024, despite a high
           base and evolving macro-economic
           environment, against the expected
           industry growth of 8-10% YoY. In
                                                     Mr Raunak Modi                     Mr Vipin Jindal
           terms of profitability, operating
           margin of ICRA’s sample set is likely
           to remain comfortable and stabilise   uncertainties and evolving domestic   high base, evolving domestic inflation
           at around 7.5-8% over the next    inflation. Nonetheless, the strong   and volatility in gold prices.
           two years. With the debt protection   cultural affinity of Indians to gold is
           metrics and liquidity position of   likely to support festive and wedding   While ICRA projects the operating
           players in the sample set expected   demand for gold jewellery.     margins of organised players to
           to remain comfortable, supported   Most jewellery retailers in ICRA’s   witness some moderation in FY2024
           by higher earnings on the back of   sample are estimated to have    owing to higher operating costs
           improved scale of operations, the   recorded revenue growth in excess   for new stores and increasing
           industry outlook is Stable.       of 15% YoY on Akshaya Tritiya 2023.   competition, the benefits of
                                             The aggressive retail expansion   economies of scale and likelihood of
           ICRA projects the industry growth   by most players during FY2023   inventory gains for some jewellers
           to moderate to 8-10% YoY (in value   along with a steep increase in gold   in FY2024 are likely to support the
           terms) in FY2024 with volume      prices (~10-12% higher YoY in     operating margins in the range of
           growth likely to remain constrained   April 2023) are likely to have aided   7.5-8% over the coming years, higher
           by expected volatility in gold prices   revenue growth while volume growth   than the average levels of ~6.5%
           amidst global macro-economic      remained muted in the light of the   witnessed before the pandemic.




           1 ICRA’s sample includes Titan Company Limited, Kalyan Jewellers India Limited, Jos Alukkas Group, Joyalukkas
           India Limited, Senco Gold Limited, Thangamayil Jewellery Limited, M/s. Purushottam Narayan Gadgil, P.N. Gadgil &
           Sons Limited, Lalithaa Jewellery Mart Private Limited, P C Chandra Group, Bhima Jewellers Trivandrum Group and
           Bhima Jewels Private Limited.


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