Page 30 - Bullion World Volume 3 Issue 2 February 2023
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Bullion World | Volume 3 | Issue 2 | February 2023


           Chart 2: Imports of rough diamonds in India
























          Source: GJEPC
                                                                               CARE Ratings expects the entities
                                                                               operating on a moderate scale with
                                                                               dependence on the secondary
                   CARE Ratings Limited (CARE Ratings)                         market to be impacted more when
                   expects that the inflationary pressures                     compared with entities having long-
                     leading to rise in the interest rates,                    term supply contracts at both ends
                                                                               of the value chain. With the focus
                      increase in travel and experience-                       of the entire value chain to improve

                 related activities, slowdown in China, and                    efficiency, reduce speculative
                                                                               movements in the prices, and
                   geopolitical uncertainties will outweigh                    promote sustainable and ethical
                   the performance of the Indian diamond                       luxury, we expect organised players
                                                                               with mine-to-market partnerships
                           industry in the near term.                          will continue to gain a larger market

                                                                               share once the demand stabilises.


          Way ahead                          interest rates. Moreover, the     Indian entities are expected to
          Overstimulation of the US economy   situation was further exacerbated   witness moderation in income
          with more than USD 5 trillion in   by the zero-tolerance stance of the   as well as profitability during
          stimulus payments followed by      Chinese government leading to     FY23, after reporting healthy
          Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has   intermittent lockdowns in various   growth during FY22. The polished
          build-up inflationary pressure on   key cities and domestic property,   production has reduced below
          essentials like clothing, food and   and a banking crisis in China, the   operational capacity since
          energy. Strong recovery of the     second-largest diamond jewellery   December 2022 with entities opting
          entire diamond value chain post    market in the world. With gradual   for reduced working hours and
          lifting of lockdown restrictions due   opening of market post relaxation   weekly offs. Nevertheless, overall
          to the lack of alternate avenues   of lockdown restrictions, demand   credit profile of entities in the
          for spending on the backdrop of    for smaller size diamonds is      organised segment is envisaged
          overstimulated economies buoyed    showing a positive traction.      to remain stable on the back of
          the demand of diamond jewellery.                                     adequate liquidity, nil long-term
          The outlook is now overturning     Against this backdrop, sustained   debt repayment obligations and
          with a decrease in the disposable   recovery in demand from these two   augmented net worth base.
          income on the backdrop of          key consuming nations remains
          withdrawal of excess liquidity,    crucial for the overall performance
          the surge in inflation across all   of the Indian midstream segment in
          key economies and decadal high     the near to medium term.





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