Page 28 - Bullion World Volume 02 Issue 01 May 2022
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Bullion World | Volume 2 | Issue 01 | May 2022



               SILVER STORY








           Recalling 2021

           Silver metal demand regained
           post covid pandemic, boosted by
           increased industrial activity coupled
           with an increase in appetite for the
           metal from retail investors.

           Silver Supply:
           From primary sources
           During 2021 global primary mine                                     supply.  Silver supply from primary
           production – Up by approximately   From recycling
                                             Supply of the metal from recycling   and secondary mining activity
           5.3% year on year to 822.6 Moz                                      in 2022 forecasted at 843.2Moz
           (25,587 Tons), registering the    witnessed an eight-year high
                                             to touch 173.0Moz (5,382t),       (26,226t).
           highest increase since 2013.
                                             contributed mainly by industrial
                                             scrap                             Demand for silver is forecasted
           Primary silver mines output:                                        to grow by around 5% year on
           increased by approximately 10.2%
                                             Silver Demand                     year. Major drivers are industrial
           year on year basis 229.9Moz                                         fabrication led by higher GDP
           (7,152t)                          Followed by a slump in demand
                                             in 2020, the orders for the white   growth, a significant shift towards
                                             metal significantly increased by   vehicle electrification, and
           By product production
           •   lead-zinc mines: up by 5.1% to   approximately 19% to 1.05Boz   geopolitical conflict boosting
                                                                               investment in renewables (solar
              252.8Moz (7,862t)              (32,627t). The market has
           •   Gold mines: up by 5.8% to     surpassed pre-pandemic volumes    photovoltaics). Post pandemic
                                                                               demand surge has been seen in the
              127.6Moz (3,967t)              and has been at its highest since
           •   Copper mines:  a modest       2015.   The significant drivers of   jewellery and silverware segment.
              increase by 0.7% to 208.2Moz   the market were coins and bars. As
                                             economies recovered and business   On the price front though
              (6,476t).
                                             operations resumed full swing,    increasing US FED interest
                                             industrial fabrication demand     rates should be watched for its
                                             increased by approximately 9.3% to   impact on prices, several positive
                                             508.2Moz (15,807t) highest since   and supporting factors would
                                             2010. Factors that contributed to   overshadow the impact of Fed
                                             the surge in demand are listed    interest rates. It is forecasted the
                                             below                             extent of price impact would be
                                                                               limited to around 5%
                                             •   Surge in consumer electronics
                                             •   Investment in 5G infrastructure  Logistics a critical factor: Strict
                                             •   Increase in green economy     border movement controls,
                                                from solar photovoltaics       lockdowns, restrictions on air cargo
                                                                               movement post-Russia – Ukraine
                                             What’s ion stake for 2022         conflict, China’s Zero COVID
                                             Project ramp-ups and incremental   strategy would impact the global
                                             output gains in established mines   supply chain and logistics this
                                             and a surge in industrial recycling   year, in turn, impact the industrial
                                             will result in a 3% surge in metal   demand for the white metal.


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