Page 19 - Bullion World Volume 02 Issue 02 June 2022_Neat
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Bullion World | Volume 2 | Issue 02 | June 2022




           Global security concerns and


           inflationary risks provide a further


           incentive for investors to consider



           exposure to ‘green’ platinum









                                             Headwinds in 2022 are pointing to
                                             a platinum market in surplus for the
                                             second successive year – albeit
                                             at 19 t (627 koz), 44% down from
                                             2021. Overall, global supply is
                                             expected to be 242 t (7,781 koz),
                                             5% down year-on-year to below
                                             pre-pandemic levels, while global
                                             demand is expected to be 223 t
                                             (7,155 koz), a modest growth of 2%.


                                             Yet recent developments, in         Platinum is used as a catalyst
                                             particular responses to Russia’s    in PEM electrolysers Picture
                                             invasion of Ukraine, are impacting
                 Mr Trevor Raymond           several drivers of short-term             credit: Siemens
                 Director of Research,       platinum demand growth, each one
           World Platinum Investment Council
                                             of which could drive our current   semiconductor shortages and
                                             forecast surplus to a balance or even   China’s zero-COVID policy continue
                                             a deficit. Automakers and industrial   to pose challenges for automakers
                                             users increasing near term metal   as well as the 2022 automotive
                                             stock by just one month, accelerated   platinum demand growth, which
                                             platinum substitution for palladium   is nonetheless expected to rise 16
                                             or China importing more than its   per cent after a strong first quarter
                                             platinum needs - as happened in   performance. The strong rise in
                                             2020 and 2021 - are all significant.   platinum automotive demand in 2022
                                             Even a portion of each action would   of 13 t reflects two ongoing trends –
                                             collectively easily drive a deficit.  higher platinum loadings per vehicle
                                                                               due to tighter emissions regulations
                                             Last year, the platinum market    and platinum for palladium
                                             was especially impacted by a      substitution in autocatalysts gaining
       Fuel cell electric vehicle growth     temporary supply increase due to   momentum on grounds of cost and,
       is being led by the heavy-duty        the processing of semi-finished mine   more recently, the threat of supply
      segment Picture Credit: Hyundai        inventory and reduced automotive   disruption.
              Motor Company                  platinum demand due to the drag on
                                             automotive production caused by a   The significant price difference
                                             global shortage of semiconductors.   between platinum and palladium
                                             The supply boost has ended but    has driven material platinum

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