Page 22 - Bullion World Volume 04 Issue 07 July 2023
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Bullion World | Volume 3 | Issue 7 | July 2023


           Precious Metals Price Outlook









































                                    Chair: Mr Nikos Kavalis, MD-Singapore, Metals Focus
                                                        Panellists:
                                               Mr Bart Melek, TD Securities
                                 Mr Yuichi (Bruce) Ikemizu, Japan Bullion Market Association
                                            Mr Nicholas Frappell, ABC Refinery.
                                  All three of the panellists gave their forecast for gold prices.





                                             Mr Bart Melek, TD Securities
                                             The outlook from their side was mostly bullish for the long-term future as
                                             one of the key aspects being the fed’s tightening approach towards the
                                             monetary policy. “TD Securities assumes that the fed might pivot and claim
                                             an accommodating stance to the policy rates. The real interest rates on the
                                             short-end of the yield curve will move down as soon as there is a slowdown
                                             in the economy. There is also an expectation of robust physical demand for
                                             gold especially from the official sector in the coming year and TD securities
                                             thinks that 2100$ can be as a target for the end of this year”.

                                             The place of Dollar as a reserve currency would not be affected but there
                                             would be a significant hike in all the prices in order to reduce the spending.
                                             Even though there is no threat in the foreseeable future, it would be advised
                                             to diversify one’s portfolio and not just hold the USD which will have erosion
                                             of some scale. With respect to gold there is no counter-party risk and it is
                    Mr Bart Melek
                                             an appreciating asset, thus making a very safe investment for the years to
                                             come.







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