Page 23 - Bullion World Volume 3 Issue 1 2023
P. 23

Bullion World | Volume 3 | Issue 1 | January 2023


           Technical View: Comex Gold –Continuous Futures





























                                             Comex Gold’s continuous contract   – 1620.  Broadly, the trend would be
                                             has traded in channel pattern     negative until prices remain below
                                             formation since the low made in   the resistance of 1905$ on a closing
                                             May 2020 at $1671 (Point A). It has   basis. A crossover above $1905
                                             tested the high at $2089 (point B).   could attract fresh buying interest
                                             Gold has been making the lower    with a possibility of moving up to
                                             top and lower bottom patterns     $2000- $2150 level could be viewed
                                             since then. As a result, the market   as a medium to long-term resistance
                                             is expected to be choppy as we    in 2023.
                                             fluctuate between the $1600 level
                                             on the lower side and $2000 on the
                                             higher side. There are arguments for
                                             both a rising wedge pattern in the   For Gold the trend
                   Mr Rajeev Darji
                                             short term and a channel pattern in   would be negative until
                                             the long term. Further, as seen in   prices remain below the
                                             the chart above, gold has corrected   resistance of 1905$ on
                                             from the high of 2078 (point D)    a closing basis. A cross-
                                             to 1618 (point E). At the time of   over above $1905 could
                                             writing, it was at $1847, nearing the
                                             50% retracement resistance level   attract fresh buying in-
                                             at 1850$. If this resistance of 1850   terest with a possibility
                                             holds on a weekly closing basis,   of moving up to $2000-
                                             then gold could reverse to move    $2150 level could be
                                             lower towards $1795. However, a    viewed as a medium to
                                             sustained break above $1850 could   long-term resistance in
                                             result in gold rising towards the
                                             next resistance level at $1905. The   2023.
                                             outlook for the next three-six months
                                             remains range bound. The trend
                                             could be decided on a breakout of
                                             the $1795-1950 range. A sustained
                                             break below $1795 brings into the
                                             picture the next supports at $1700

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