Why some experts consider that it is time to invest in gold: how to buy
The economic analyst José Luis Cava He indicated that, to preserve our real wealth, We should invest in gold and bitcoin.
To explain why, it is first sets on monetary inflation, the increase in liquidity that exists in the economy. “If the liquidity in the economy is increased, this promotes the price of gold and bitcoin.”
To estimate the growth of monetary inflation, he makes a “very simple” approach that, according to him, has a correlation of more than 90%. “It is the increase in credit to the private sector and the increase in credit to the public sector“
There is a fact that has happened very clearly since 2000. “The volume of American public debt in circulation in 2000 was about 3 billion dollars and, at the end of 2024 and early 2025, we can place it around 30 billion. It has multiplied by 10 since the year 2000”. At this time, he points out that the price of gold has multiplied by 12.4.
How can we calculate the annual growth rate of the price of gold?
The expert explains that it is done as follows: Monetary inflation is added (the most important)price inflation is added (the one we see monthly), the increase in productivity is added and the increase in gold supply is subtracted.
“To calculate monetary inflation, I have to refer to the growth rate of the private sector and the public sector. The growth rate of the public sector is twice the private sector, because I am going to focus on the growth rate of the public debt issued. Governments cannot control public spendingbecause they have a mandatory public spending, formed by social spending, defense spending and interest item. In such a way that, when calculating how much the public debt issued in annual terms will grow, I believe that no less than 10-12% per year, “according to the IMF.
Taking into account that monetary inflation will grow at a rate of 10-12% per year, and assuming that price inflation is 2% per year, That the increase in productivity is also 2%per year, “I already have an annual growth rate of 14%. And I will assume that the growth of the gold supply is 2%. Therefore, step from 14 to 12. Then we would find that, on average, on average, Gold price should grow only by monetary inflation by 12% per year“
But we find another added factor, which is why gold is climbing so strongly. And it is the purchase by the central banks, “because we go to a new model in which the gold pattern will take significant importance.”
How to invest in gold from Argentina
Gold price In Argentina it is expressed in Argentine pesos for every gram of gold of 24 caratsbut the 18 karat gram and that of 14, which are obviously of lower quality. This is very important that it is clarified since the international price of gold is expressed in dollars for each Troy ounce (unit of measure equivalent to 30,103 grams). As for the ways to buy gold, these are the following:
Gold jewelry
They are bought directly in jewelry. The attractiveness of this modality is that the price of the jewel is likely to increase by other factors outside the price of gold, such as its complexity, seniority, goldsmith work, etc.
Gold bullion
This most sought after option, then They are the ones with the most precise way to determine their value. In general, you can buy 0.5 grams bulls 1 gram, 5 grams, 10 grams, 20 grams, 1 oz, 50 grams and 100 grams.
The bullions are sold together with the certificate of validity and guarantee, which indicates the weight, purity (usually purity 999) and the company issuing the certificate. The aforementioned data is also usually stamped on the bar or ingot. They can be bought both in jewelers and banks.
Financial assets that quote on the stock market
The local market offers the possibility of buying yields from both an ETF (quoted fund) that instantly replicates the price of the ingot and a company that is dedicated to the exploitation of gold metal.
It should be noted in this regard, which recently began to quote the Yield “GLD” which represents the possession of participations in the Fund quoted SPDR Gold Shares, administered by State Street Global Advisors. This background maintains significant amounts of physical gold stored in London, Zurich and New York. Its price in pesos is tied to the international value of gold and the exchange rate and so far this year, climbing 20% and in the month 5.7 percent.
As for the company, it is the Canadian Barrick Goldwhose yield is called “Gold“It should be noted that his last balance exceeded the estimates of analysts in terms of benefits of the fourth quarter, due to the rise in the price of gold as an increase in production. This yields rises 8.8% so far this month and 28% since the beginning of the year.
ETFs (quoted funds) about gold
The ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) allow investors to follow the price of gold without buying the metal directly. They are funds that are quoted in international bags and replicate the performance of gold or a basket of shares of mining companies. To access these ETFs, it is necessary to have an account in an international broker that allows to operate in foreign markets.
Some examples of ETFs about gold are:
For more experienced investors, opening an account in an international broker allows access to global markets where they can operate with physical gold, gold future, ETFs or actions of mining companies.
Brokers such as Interactive Brokers, Ameritrade TD, or E*Trade allow to buy and sell these assets from Argentina, although there may be additional restrictions and costs to operate abroad.